Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.456984 2.686742 2.933219 3.218094 3.539261 3.891276 4.307833
2025-11-02 2.125020 2.437040 2.792955 3.231983 3.763086 4.390081 5.194165
2025-11-09 1.863093 2.207656 2.617817 3.147752 3.822670 4.665079 5.814734
2025-11-16 1.689678 2.054502 2.503785 3.106488 3.907426 4.955256 6.464311
2025-11-23 1.564439 1.944126 2.425421 3.092358 4.012359 5.267615 7.166488
2025-11-30 1.498420 1.900656 2.424681 3.173808 4.245462 5.769840 8.193461
2025-12-07 1.406710 1.814251 2.357178 3.153554 4.328025 6.058896 8.932134
2025-12-14 1.321900 1.729948 2.284371 3.116484 4.377832 6.297949 9.615879
2025-12-21 1.222521 1.618519 2.165082 3.000651 4.295777 6.320448 9.938086
2025-12-28 1.172091 1.572118 2.134125 3.011550 4.406891 6.656851 10.839262
2026-01-04 1.133715 1.540059 2.120933 3.046796 4.557280 7.070199 11.934819
2026-01-11 1.100308 1.512826 2.112377 3.087277 4.717808 7.515239 13.155265
2026-01-18 1.066712 1.484271 2.101236 3.124739 4.880234 7.988669 14.527202
2026-01-25 1.030663 1.449973 2.079031 3.142236 5.009550 8.416878 15.884594
2026-02-01 0.974878 1.382647 2.001311 3.061553 4.957047 8.495495 16.499478
2026-02-08 0.932709 1.334082 1.950265 3.021808 4.973999 8.708368 17.450450
2026-02-15 0.899312 1.297453 1.916083 3.008180 5.037099 9.018696 18.685385
2026-02-22 0.887179 1.293529 1.934330 3.086801 5.280760 9.727344 21.039791
2026-03-01 0.856418 1.258333 1.899043 3.067254 5.331864 10.034237 22.432699
2026-03-08 0.824597 1.219986 1.856473 3.031472 5.347199 10.264126 23.667796
2026-03-15 0.780735 1.160300 1.775211 2.919637 5.199775 10.113223 23.810168
2026-03-22 0.761459 1.140172 1.760259 2.930162 5.304257 10.550489 25.749289
2026-03-29 0.747313 1.127865 1.757996 2.964194 5.460534 11.129007 28.261139